Sports wagering can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a best case in point. My spouse and i analyzed the particular Rest of the world California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the game. Yet , My spouse and i also noticed that there have been a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released prior to the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This online game possesses all the indicators of being one of the ideal games of the year, along with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming backside from being down major in the final quarter to winning within overtime.
So what’s the sport appearance like this year?
If this match were being played at a natural field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they missing to Florida Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.
These are some very outstanding stats that tilt often the scales in favor involving WVU regarding tonight’s online. Plus, typically the added added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like significantly, but in a close match-up such as this, that special point could make the difference between a push and a loss.
But what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home activities.
And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in your own home since December 17, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. some points every game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. six points per game on home. In case anyone didn’t do the figures, that means due to the fact their own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their particular oppositions by about thirty four points per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the range, on average, simply by 13 details per activity at home considering the year 2003.
Wow… how can you go against that?
Here’s the way…
Almost Online betting singapore of those stats have been developed during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to possessed recent games that has they also have only scored twenty eight, twenty-three, 24 points. That activities weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
The bottom line is the fact that this is still some sort of close match to get in touch with. But the things i look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to core 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not gamble at all. There usually are better video games this quick with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s borders had not been so big that they may still win after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this activity, people serious regarding wagering saved money they can put to better make use of on future games.